Alcoa: Back On My Watch List Despite A Weak Q1

4/19/19

By Leo Nelissen, SeekingAlpha

Summary

  • Alcoa's adjusted EPS came in well below expectations in the first quarter.
  • Falling commodity prices and outperforming input costs damaged the company's bottom line.
  • Nonetheless, if China's economic recovery is for real, we might be looking at a very interesting trade.

The Pittsburgh, PA-based aluminum producer Alcoa (AA) just released its first quarter earnings. The company missed EPS expectations while sales failed to grow after a solid streak of strong quarters in both 2017 and 2018. It's the economy which is doing a number on Alcoa. Falling industrial metals and rising input costs are giving this company a very hard time. Nonetheless, I am putting the stock back on my watch list as we might be in for an interesting buying opportunity over the next few weeks/months.

Source: Alcoa

Apparently, The Big Picture Is Rather Weak

First quarter adjusted EPS had its first expectations miss since Q4 of 2017 after the previous 2 quarters both had convincing earnings beats. Adjusted EPS came in at -$0.23 which is well below expectations of -$0.17. It is also significantly lower compared to the prior-year quarter when EPS totaled $0.77. Back then, the growth rate was 22%.

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